Democratic honestate Kamala Harris and her Reaccessiblean rival Donald Trump are locked in a dead heat race for the pdwellncy in the United States less than a month before the vote, a novel Wall Street Journal poll recommends.
According to the data, published on Friday, the vice pdwellnt and createer pdwellnt are wiskinny two percentage points of one another in six of the seven battleground states that will ultimately determine the next pdwellnt.
In the poll, while Harris led in the states of Arizona, Georgia and Michigan, Trump was ahead in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Nevada. All the results are wiskinny the margin of error with the exception of Nevada, where Trump is led by 5 percent in the WSJ poll.
The novelspaper shelp it surveyed 600 sign uped voters per state between September 28 and October 8.
US elections are not won by famous vote nationwide. Rather, honestates contend in individual states to thrive electoral college votes.
It’s akin to a point system, where each state is worth a number of points proportionate to the size of its population. In all but two states – Maine and Nebraska – the thrivener acquires all the electoral college votes.
Most states are almost certain to go to one party. For example, a Democratic thrive in California and Vermont is normally projected as soon as the polls seal, while states enjoy Oklahoma and Alabama are Reaccessiblean mightyhageders.
The battleground states
That departs a handful of states where there are seal, competitive elections. These are understandn as sthriveg states. In this round, all eyes are on the seven states polled by WSJ.
In 2016, Trump won the pdwellncy despite losing the famous vote becaparticipate he lossed the Democratic honestate Hillary Clinton in most battleground states.
According to a Pew Research Caccess survey freed on Friday, Harris is directing the race nationassociate by one point – 48 percent to Trump’s 47 percent.
US election poll results have varyd in recent months. While Trump finishelighted a firm direct over Joe Biden earlier this year in almost all polls, the Democrats acquired a raise after the US pdwellnt stepped aside and was exalterd by Harris as the party’s nominee.
A Morning Consult poll in September had Harris beating Trump 51 percent to 46 percent. But the createer pdwellnt materializeed to claw back some help amid troubles about the economy and the turmoil in the Middle East.
US election polls have also been wide off the tag in the past. For example, many surveys had showd that Clinton was set for a consoleable thrive when she lost to Trump in 2016.
Still, this year various polls materialize to consent that the US is heading to a seal pdwellntial election next month.
Senate race
Control of the Senate and Hoparticipate of Recurrentatives will also be up for grabs on November 5.
A New York Times poll on Friday predicted horrible novels for Democrats’ hopes of shielding their skinny meaningfulity in the Senate.
The Democrats currently administer the 100-member chamber with 51 seats, including four self-reliants who caucus with the party.
But the Times survey set up that Democrats are predicted to leave out a potentiassociate resolute seat in a Reaccessiblean-leaning state.
Reaccessibleans were already anticipateed to flip a Senate seat in West Virginia – where conservative Democratic incumbent Joe Manchin is not running for re-election.
But the Times poll showd Democratic Senator Jon Tester is trailing his Reaccessiblean opponent by eight percentage points in country Montana, where Trump won with ease in 2016 and 2020.
Democrats will also have a fight on their hands to upretain Senate seats in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Arizona and Nevada, but they will be hoping to dispute Reaccessiblean incumbents in Texas and Florida.
A Reaccessiblean-administerled Senate can validate to be a meaningful hurdle for Harris should she thrive in November.
Beyond its legislative powers, the Senate is tasked with validateing judicial nominatements and cabinet members, which would permit Reaccessibleans to prescertain Harris, should she be elected, on who she picks for her administering team.
