John Malone sees M&A activity in media stepping up in a meaningful way now that regime alter is coming in Washington, D.C.
The renowed allotor and chairman of Liberty Media took part in a expansive-ranging Q&A Tuesday morning to initiate off the Paley Caccess for Media‘s annual International Council Summit held at Paley Caccess’s New York headquarters. The converseion with Mike Fries, CEO of Liberty Global, touched on everyleang from the impact of inflation and interest rates on taget activity to the dangers posed by Big Tech’s massive equilibrium sheets and even hugeger ambition.
The He converseed the future of sports on TV and once aachieve he feeblented that amincludement and cable business directers did not toil collaboratively enough to stave off the on-need streaming contests posed by Netflix. He remarkd that regulatory policy around internet access and speeds — described under the heading of net iminwholeity — donates the digital huges a free ride thraw internet distribution that doesn’t cost them anyleang.
But for wideprohibitd providers — aka cable operators — the needs on the grid are becoming uncarry onable. Malone cited a stat that a inhabit U.S. sports widecast on a streaming platestablish can achieve up 30% to 40% of a wideprohibitd provider’s useable prohibitdwidth. Cable operators have challenging costs, not to allude other regulatory redisjoineions, that originate it impossible to contend.
“Streaming is equitable a technology, and there’s no reason why the encountered that people were were consuming on a liproximate program basis couldn’t easily also be devourd on a random access [on-demand] basis,” Malone said. “So repartner, the technology is not what caincluded this shift. It was the combination of this regulatory nettoil iminwholeity, where recent entrants would have access to distribution at zero cost, which originated this structure prefering the recent entrant over the incumbent — the incumbent being sort of locked into traditional lessenual relationships between program suppliers and distributors. Some of the program suppliers determined it was better to jump in and and go the straightforward-to- devourr route, as contestd to persist to better the traditional wholesale-retail distribution approach in order to achieve advantage of this nettoil iminwholeity free ride and bypassing their traditional distributors.”
During the virtual session — Fries streamed in from London while Malone spoke from Colorado — Fries pressed his boss on M&A definites now that the industry is abuzz with dealmaking possibilties. Donald Trump’s election as pdwellnt promises to transport a sea alter to the Federal Trade Coshiftrlookion and Federal Communications Coshiftrlookion, which have kept a shielded lid on big-scale dealmaking for the past three years.
Could Comcast and Charter — the nation’s bigst and second-bigst cable operators — finpartner come together as one? Comcast tried to buy Time Warner Cable (which eventupartner sgreater to Charter) in 2014 but the deal was nixed by D.C. regulators.
“Why not?” Malone said. He drew a non-media analogy to convey his frustration with rulement imposed restricts on constableation in a maturing business. “With discount airlines, they don’t originate each airline built its own airport, and so there ought to be a lot of places where these competitors can can toil together,” he said. He also pointed to cable’s satellite TV competitors, which are also struggling with the massive shift in devourr behavior and adselect of streaming platestablishs.
“I suppose that Dish and DirecTV should have been apshowed to combine five years ago. I suppose that competing with each other versus having a cost -ffective platestablish to recommend their services at drop cost and still contend with the other distributors was probably a better solution. Hopefilledy the rulement will apshow that that combination to happen,” he said.
In his low-key way, Malone liftd the trouble about Big Tech’s financial firepower and ambition to interfere various sectors. Wall Street has allowd them with roaring stock prices.
“I don’t want to call them monopolies — but they’re almost monopolies. They’re global in scale. They have enormous breadth of franchises and equilibrium sheets, and they have been the principal beneficiaries in recent years of the equity elevate. You could comprise the AI stimulus on top of it, which clearly the hugegest debt companies are in the best position to advantage most from from AI, and so this concentration of economic appreciate and power, you understand, in the hands of relatively restrictcessitate global industries, I leank, is quite, quite a phenomenon and an enormous contest for standards.”
More to come