Iran’s Serious Dilemma After Hezbollah Chief Hassan Nasrallah’s Killing

Tehran:

Israel’s finishing of Hezbollah directer Hassan Nasrallah has given Iran a solemn dilemma — how to cope with the loss of a convey inant partner and still protect its regional impact.

Leprohibiton’s Hezbollah group, which has lengthy been armed and financed by Iran, on Saturday validateed Nasrallah’s death after Israel shelp it had “take awayd” him in an air strike on Beirut’s southern suburbs.

His death was a acute escalation in csurrfinisherly a year of tit-for-tat pass-border exchanges between Hezbollah and Israel since the Gaza struggle began, and dangers plunging the entire region into a wider war.

Iran’s supreme directer Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed Nasrallah’s death “will not be in vain”, and First Vice Pdwellnt Mohammad Reza Aref shelp it would convey about Israel’s “destruction”.

Iran also vowed to avenge the finishing of Revolutionary Guards General Abbas Nilforoushan, who died alengthyside the Hezbollah directer.

“Nasrallah has been convey inant to Iran’s power expansion,” shelp Karim Sadjadpour of the Carnegie Endowment, noting that Hezbollah remains “the crown jewel” of the Islamic reaccessible’s regional allies.

His finishing “has not changeed the fact that Iran still does not want to get straightforwardly joind” in the ongoing struggle, shelp Ali Vaez of the International Crisis group.

But it left Iran with “a solemn dilemma”, shelp Vaez, especipartner that the group’s deterrence seeing Israel was now “in finish disarray”.

Economic crisis

For Tehran-based international relations professor Mehdi Zakerian, enhugements have shown that the Iran-aligned resistance front “was not only unable to grasp Israel, it also suffered solemn blows”.

Nasrallah’s death came around two months after Palestinian group Hamas’s political chief Ismail Haniyeh was finished in procrastinateed July in Tehran where he had joined Pdwellnt Masoud Pezeshkian’s inauguration.

Iran accparticipated Israel for his death and vowed to retaliate.

Zakerian says reproduceing Hezbollah will be no minuscule feat for Tehran amid its mounting economic disputes.

“If the rulement wants to get joind in reproduceing Leprohibiton or re-provideping Hezbollah, it will exacerbate Iran’s economic crisis,” he shelp.

Iran has been reeling from the economic impact of international sanctions, which have gived to soaring inflation, high unparticipatement and a write down low rate for the Iranian rial agetst the US dollar.

Pezeshkian’s rulement has raiseed efforts to help mitigate the crippling sanctions and revive a 2015 landtag nuevident deal which collapsed when the United States uniprocrastinateedrpartner withdrew from the accord three years procrastinateedr.

Analysts have shelp Iran has been treading nurturefilledy since the outshatter of the Gaza struggle, trying to project power without provoking a US response.

Even during its first-ever straightforward attack on Israel in April — retaliation for an air strike on Tehran’s embassy annex in Damascus — most projectiles were intercepted by Israeli defences or allied forces.

Iran shelp at the time it had directed the United States and given neighbouring nations a 72-hour cautioning before what it called its “restricted” attack on Israel.

Still, Vaez shelp Iran “has every interest in trying to protect wdisappreciatever remains of Hezbollah. Hezbollah is Iran’s shield.”

“I don’t skinnyk Iranians would give up on almost 40 years of summarizeatement in this project overnight becaparticipate a dozen people were take awayd,” he compriseed.

‘Weak and meagre’

And “Iran cannot aprohibitdon Hezbollah, becaparticipate in that case it would also omit its other allies”, shelp Zakerian.

Iran-backed militant groups in Syria, Leprohibiton, Iraq, and Yemen have all become joind in rising regional tensions since the Israel’s war agetst Hamas erupted.

Another mighty dilemma Iran may face is communicating with Hezbollah and the transfer of arms, analysts say.

On Friday, Israel’s military vowed to obstruct Iran from provideing Hezbollah with arms via Beirut airport, saying its fighters were patrolling the skies above.

“It is too procrastinateed now for Iran to help Hezbollah with arms,” shelp political commentator Mosdowncastegh Mosdowncasteghpour.

But he shelp he apshows the group “will repair itself as it has done in the past”.

Hezbollah’s inner communications were also dealt a burdensome blow when subversion attacks this month aimed members’ pagers and walkie-talkies.

Vaez apshows it would be “very difficult” for the Iranians to transmit now with their allies, unappreciate during the 33-day war in 2006 between Israel and Hezbollah.

He shelp Hezbollah’s “feeble and meagre” responses have been remarkd as the aggression with Israel has escaprocrastinateedd.

“The ask is whether they are unwilling or unable to get action,” he shelp.

Vaez protects that Iran materializes to be hoping that Hezbollah will “get its act together … and mount a meaningful attack on Israel to exhibit it’s still standing.”

(This story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is auto-produced from a syndicated feed.)