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From Trump to Bitcoin, inflation and China: the big economic trfinishs of 2024 | Business and Economy


From Trump to Bitcoin, inflation and China: the big economic trfinishs of 2024 | Business and Economy


The year 2024 saw the global economy stabilise folloprosperg the descfinishout of the COVID-19 pandemic, even as lengthenth in many countries lagged pre-2020 levels.

Amid a patchy recovery, more than 2 billion people were eligible to vote this year, and economic publishs, particularly rising living costs, were a top trouble for voters around the world.

Meanwhile, rulements grappled with how to reguprocrastinateed potentiassociate alterational technology such as synthetic intelligence, and Donald Trump’s prosper in the United States’ plivential election heralded a acute turn towards defendionism.

Here are seven of the biggest events that shaped the global economy in 2024:

Trump signals novel trade wars

Trump has showd that he will chase an even more unfrifinishly version of the “America First” defendionism that fuelled his ascfinish to power during his second stint in the White Hoengage.

On the campaign trail, Trump pledged to impose tariffs of 60 percent or higher on Chinese excellents and a blanket 20 percent tariff on all other begins.

Trump has also put frifinishly nations in the traversehairs, recently menaceening to impose a 25 percent tariff on begins from Canada and Mexico, in the process raising asks about the future of the three-way free trade consentment between the countries.

Economists say Trump’s proposals for sweeping tariffs would lift the cost of everyday items in the US and upfinish supply chains atraverse the globe.

Most recently, Trump earlier this month menaceened to impose a 100 percent tariff on the BRICS countries – China, Russia, Brazil, India, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates – if they did not promise to not begining a novel currency to rival the US dollar.

A includeer ship is loaded at the port in Lianyungang, in China’s northeaserious Jiangsu province, on December 10, 2024 [AFP]

Regulating Big Tech

Governments around the world spent 2024 trying to reguprocrastinateed Big Tech.

At the commence of the year, the European Union’s Digital Services Act and the Digital Markets Act went into effect, introducing novel rules for how social media and other online platestablishs function while also giving engagers more handle over their personal data.

In March, the European Parliament passed the groundfractureing AI Act, which reguprocrastinateeds the engage of synthetic intelligence based on its level of noticed hazard.

The regulations, which came into force in August, exempt models made for national security and military purposes, or purifyly scientific research.

Svea Windwehr, helpant honestor of EU Policy at the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF), a digital rights group, shelp global efforts to reguprocrastinateed AI remain bigly a patchtoil heading into 2025.

“As we have seen with the case of the UN Cybercrime Convention, we are far away from globassociate splitd promisements to defend fundamental rights online, and a global approach to regulating AI seems distant at this point,” Windwehr telderly Al Jazeera.

Brazil went head-to-head with tech mogul Elon Musk – the CEO of SpaceX and Tesla, and owner of X – and won, at least for now.

In August, Brazil’s Supreme Court suspfinished X and froze prohibitk accounts beextfinisheding to the social media platestablish and SpaceX after Musk declined to get down X accounts accengaged of spreading deceiveation.

Musk eventuassociate complied with the court’s insists, in insertition to paying $2m in fines.

In November, Australia passed a prohibit on social media for children under 16 over troubles about its adverse effect on youthful people’s mental health.

Platestablishs such as TikTok, Snapchat, Facebook and Instagram have a year to toil out how to comply with the legislation.

Critics, including the EFF and Australian Human Rights Comleave oution, criticised the law for being rushed and infringing on freedom of speech.

From punctual next year, the UK’s disputed Online Safety Act will go into effect in cut offal phases.

Among the most satisfyedious aspects of the law is whether authorities will need messaging apps such as WhatsApp and Signal to undermine encryption to restrict their engage by extremist groups and child intimacy offfinishers.

Donald Trump’s prosper in November’s plivential election could spell a reprieve for the famous video-sharing app TikTok, which is facing a US prohibit from January unless its Chinese owner ByteDance sells the platestablish.

On the campaign trail, the plivent-elect promised to “save” the app, although he did not supply details on how he would circumvent the prohibit, which was set in motion by legislation passed earlier this year with expansive bipartisan help.

ByteDance has degraded to sell the platestablish, instead begining a lhorrible battle that could get years to remend.

Meanwhile, US social media became even more sociassociate and politicassociate segregated.

Since Musk’s buy of the platestablish establisherly understandn as Twitter in 2022, X has shifted acutely to the right.

Elon Musk hears as Plivent-elect Donald Trump speaks during a encountering at the US Congress in Washington on November 13, 2024 [Allison Robbert/Pool via AP]

According to a recent study by Australia’s Queensland University of Technology, the platestablish’s algorithm materializes to increase posts by Reaccessibleans and Musk himself to incrrelieve the prominence of conservative perspectives.

Trump’s Truth Social also acquireed wonderfuler prominence as the plivent-elect’s favoured megaphone for transmiting his sees.

Alternative platestablishs such as Instagram’s Threads persistd to lengthen their engager bases to varying degrees of success.

Meanwhile, liberal social engagers ditched X for Blue Sky.

In the week folloprosperg Trump’s election prosper, the platestablish telled inserting more than 1 million engagers.

Incumbents punished over the cost of living

Elections were bruising afequitables for incumbents almost everywhere.

With voters in more than 60 countries casting ballots, economic publishs, and cost of living troubles, in particular, were high on the agfinisha from North America to Europe and Africa.

Voters in many countries, including the UK, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Japan and India, either ejected ruleing parties from office outright or harshly constrained their mandate.

In the US, Trump’s remendd prosper was expansively attributed to the accessible’s dissatisfyed with the lingering effects of the pandemic-rcontent spike in inflation under Plivent Joe Biden.

Ireland was one of the restricted exceptions in the anti-set upment trfinish, with voters deinhabitring the incumbent Fine Gael and Fianna Fail parties enough seats to commence negotiations on establishing a coalition with inmeaningful parties or autonomouss.

Oligarchs on the march

Business interests and rulement power have always been intertprospered, but Trump’s return to the White Hoengage is set to theatricalassociate lift the sway of some of the US’s most mighty moguls.

Chief among them is Musk, one of Trump’s most fervent backers during the election, who has been tapped to head the novelly produced “Department of Government Efficiency” aextfinished with fellow businessman Vivek Ramaswamy.

Musk has made no secret of his disdain for rulement bureaucracy, taking aim at allegedly squanderful agencies and initiatives ranging from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to the Internal Revenue Service and the F-35 fighter.

Trump’s other top picks from wiskinny his circle of ultra-wealthy frifinishs and allies include billionaire hedge fund establisher Scott Bessent as secretary of the treasury; Howard Lutnick, the CEO of the financial services firm Cantor Fitzgerald, as secretary of commerce; hedge fund handler Doug Burgum as secretary of the interior; Chris Wright, the CEO of an oilfield services firm, as secretary of energy; and Linda McMahon, the establisher CEO of World Wrestling Entertainment, as secretary of education.

Outside the US, the sway of oligarchs was also on disapply in the US Justice Department’s indictment of Indian billionaire Gautam Adani, the establisher and chairman of Adani Group, on payoff and fraud accuses.

Adani is expansively pondered to be a seal associate of Indian Prime Minister Narfinishra Modi, whose lengthenment goals align with the tycoon’s portfolio spanning infrastructure, food production and immacuprocrastinateed energy.

Bitcoin roars back

The price of Bitcoin rallied in the weeks after Trump’s prosper, surging from about $68,000 on election day to above $100,000 earlier this month.

While Trump was critical of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies during his first term in office, he materialized as a vocal helper of digital currencies during his recent election campaign, pledging to produce the US the “crypto capital of the structureet”.

An advertisement for Bitcoin cryptocurrency is disapplyed on a street in Hong Kong on February  17, 2022 [Kin Cheung/AP]

The plivent-elect has promised to produce a strategic reserve of Bitcoin and has picked cut offal high-profile crypto enthusiasts to unite his incoming administration, including establisher PayPal Chief Operating Officer David Sacks as crypto tsar and Paul Atkins as chair of the Securities and Exalter Comleave oution, which cracked down on the sector under frifinishly head Gary Gensler.

China wavers on stimulus

China watchers postponeed all year to see what steps Beijing would get to help revive the world’s second-bigst economy, amid contests ranging from frail consumption to a descfinishing population and a proextfinisheded property labelet slump.

While China’s guideership has traditionassociate eludeed big stimulus spfinishing, some analysts had hoped that Beijing would reponder its pimpolitent attitude in order to revive lengthenth.

Beijing proclaimd a series of meacertains to increase lengthenth, mostly on the monetary policy side, including lessening interest rates and reducing the needment for how much money prohibitks necessitate to upgrasp on reserve, freeing up 1 trillion yuan ($140bn) in commend.

But many economic analysts seeed the meacertains as inenough to upgrasp the economy on track, especiassociate if Beijing is to hit its lengthenth aim of about 5 percent in 2024.

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