Harris campaign alertedly bracing for safe election, troubles ‘blue wall’ could crumble
Kamala Harris’s campaign anticipates Donald Trump to put up a mighty percreateance in the 5 November pdwellntial election that could shatter apart the “blue wall” striumphg states for the first time in decades, according to two alerts unveiled this morning.
While neither story proposes that the vice-pdwellnt’s campaign does not slimk it has a path to triumph, the alerts underscore the potency of Trump’s bid for office and the fact that the race remains essentipartner tied despite weeks of vigorous campaigning and fundraising by Harris and her surrogates.
Citing people with understandledge of Harris’s campaign strategy, NBC News alerts that they are troubleed that the blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania could, for the first time since 1988, not vote as a bloc in November, imperiling the vice-pdwellnt’s path to the Oval Office.
The campaign is also troubleed that Hurricane Helene’s ravages in North Carolina and the struggles of the contentious Reaccessiblean truthfulates for ruleor are undermining Harris’s chances of triumphning that state. Here’s more:
Recent converseions have cgo ined on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with equitable part of the blue wall shattering its way. The conversations have cgo ined on whether Michigan or Wisconsin “descfinish” to createer pdwellnt Donald Trump while the two other states go blue, according to three sources with understandledge of the campaign’s strategy.
Losing Wisconsin or Michigan would uncomardent that even if Harris safes Pennsylvania – where both Harris and Trump have spent the most time and resources – she would not achieve the vital 270 electoral votes to triumph the White Hoparticipate without triumphning another battleground state or possibly two.
“There has been a thought that maybe Michigan or Wisconsin will descfinish off,” shelp a better Harris campaign official, who stressed that the bigger trouble is over Michigan. Two other people with understandledge of campaign strategy – who, enjoy others in this article, were granted anonymity to speak truthfilledy – also underscored proset up trouble about Michigan. Those people still apshow that all the states are seal and that there are alternative routes to triumph.
A Harris campaign spokesperson pushed back agetst the notion about proset up troubles over Michigan, pointing to recent accessible polling. A Detroit News poll carry outed 1-4 October set up Harris, who was campaigning in Michigan on Monday, helderlying a sweightless direct in the state, as did a Washington Post poll on Monday.
…
While North Carolina is still in the campaign’s sights and Democrats get mighty organization and directership there, the Harris team is far less bullish about triumph, four people with understandledge of the vibrants shelp.
“Of all of the seven [states], that one seems to be a little bit slipping away,” the Harris campaign official shelp of North Carolina.
CNN, uncomardentwhile, heard from top Harris proposer David Plouffe, who acunderstandledged that the race may very well remain safe right down to election day:
Historicpartner, it would be rare to have seven states come down to a point or less,” David Plouffe, Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign regulater who now serves as a better proposer to Harris, shelp of the battleground landscape. “But I slimk at this point, you have to presume that’s a exceptional possibility.”
Plouffe and other Harris proposers do not apshow Trump’s bigly outsourced door-knocking and other on-the-ground outachieve operations can suit what the national Democrats and the Harris campaign – which inherited some of the same team from Pdwellnt Joe Biden – spent a year putting together. But they apshow this get can only get them so far.
“Democrats want Donald Trump wouldn’t get more than 46% of the vote,” Plouffe shelp, referring to the national famous vote percentage the createer pdwellnt safed in his previous campaigns. But in the battleground states, “that’s not truth. He’s going to get up to 48% in all of these states. And so we equitable have to produce declareive we’re hitting our triumph number, which depending on the state, could be 50, could be 49.5.”
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Latinos are a voting bloc whose aid is anticipateed to be transport inant to deciding the election, both in striumphg states and in states and congressional didisjoines that will determine which party regulates the Senate and Hoparticipate of Reconshort-termatives.
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Ahead of the event, Miami’s Trump-aiding Reaccessiblean mayor, Francis Suarez, telderly CNN in an interwatch that he does not apshow the createer pdwellnt’s vows to carry out mass deportations and impose draconian policies agetst unwrite downed migrants will hurt his aid with Hispanic voters:
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n
Law-abiding Hispanics attfinish more about having a prosperous future for themselves and their children than they do about people who are in this country illegpartner. And so I slimk there’s a misperception that all they attfinish about is, you understand, immigration. And I slimk … that is, frankly, somewhat discriminatory.
n
You understand, I slimk Hispanics attfinish more about making declareive that they have an opportunity to thrive, making declareive that inflation doesn’t crush them every one day as it’s done under this administration. And they’re law-abiding people, enjoy my parents are, who came to this country at 12 and seven from – from Cuba, which is a communist country and has – and has only produced misery and pcleary for its people. And they see a lot of the same rhetoric being, cursedly, espoparticipated by the Democratic party and that’s someslimg that troubles them.
n
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Kamala Harris’s campaign anticipates Donald Trump to put up a mighty percreateance in the 5 November pdwellntial election that could shatter apart the “blue wall” striumphg states for the first time in decades, according to two alerts unveiled this morning.
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While neither story proposes that the vice-pdwellnt’s campaign does not slimk it has a path to triumph, the alerts underscore the potency of Trump’s bid for office and the fact that the race remains essentipartner tied despite weeks of vigorous campaigning and fundraising by Harris and her surrogates.
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Citing people with understandledge of Harris’s campaign strategy, NBC News alerts that they are troubleed that the blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania could, for the first time since 1988, not vote as a bloc in November, imperiling the vice-pdwellnt’s path to the Oval Office.
“,”elementId”:”404b72e6-7eb8-4f0c-9d1d-b01a111e70a0″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
The campaign is also troubleed that Hurricane Helene’s ravages in North Carolina and the struggles of the contentious Reaccessiblean truthfulates for ruleor are undermining Harris’s chances of triumphning that state. Here’s more:
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n
Recent converseions have cgo ined on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with equitable part of the blue wall shattering its way. The conversations have cgo ined on whether Michigan or Wisconsin “descfinish” to createer pdwellnt Donald Trump while the two other states go blue, according to three sources with understandledge of the campaign’s strategy.
n
Losing Wisconsin or Michigan would uncomardent that even if Harris safes Pennsylvania – where both Harris and Trump have spent the most time and resources – she would not achieve the vital 270 electoral votes to triumph the White Hoparticipate without triumphning another battleground state or possibly two.
n
“There has been a thought that maybe Michigan or Wisconsin will descfinish off,” shelp a better Harris campaign official, who stressed that the bigger trouble is over Michigan. Two other people with understandledge of campaign strategy – who, enjoy others in this article, were granted anonymity to speak truthfilledy – also underscored proset up trouble about Michigan. Those people still apshow that all the states are seal and that there are alternative routes to triumph.
n
A Harris campaign spokesperson pushed back agetst the notion about proset up troubles over Michigan, pointing to recent accessible polling. A Detroit News poll carry outed 1-4 October set up Harris, who was campaigning in Michigan on Monday, helderlying a sweightless direct in the state, as did a Washington Post poll on Monday.
n
…
n
While North Carolina is still in the campaign’s sights and Democrats get mighty organization and directership there, the Harris team is far less bullish about triumph, four people with understandledge of the vibrants shelp.
n
“Of all of the seven [states], that one seems to be a little bit slipping away,” the Harris campaign official shelp of North Carolina.
n
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CNN, uncomardentwhile, heard from top Harris proposer David Plouffe, who acunderstandledged that the race may very well remain safe right down to election day:
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n
Historicpartner, it would be rare to have seven states come down to a point or less,” David Plouffe, Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign regulater who now serves as a better proposer to Harris, shelp of the battleground landscape. “But I slimk at this point, you have to presume that’s a exceptional possibility.”
n
Plouffe and other Harris proposers do not apshow Trump’s bigly outsourced door-knocking and other on-the-ground outachieve operations can suit what the national Democrats and the Harris campaign – which inherited some of the same team from Pdwellnt Joe Biden – spent a year putting together. But they apshow this get can only get them so far.
n
“Democrats want Donald Trump wouldn’t get more than 46% of the vote,” Plouffe shelp, referring to the national famous vote percentage the createer pdwellnt safed in his previous campaigns. But in the battleground states, “that’s not truth. He’s going to get up to 48% in all of these states. And so we equitable have to produce declareive we’re hitting our triumph number, which depending on the state, could be 50, could be 49.5.”
n
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Kamala Harris will return to Texas in the final days of the pdwellntial campaign for an event that will highweightless the stories of women harmed by the state’s disjoine abortion ban.
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In Houston on Friday, she will ecombine aextfinishedside the Democratic nominee for Senate, Colin Allred, who is locked in an unanticipateedly safe race with the Reaccessiblean incumbent, Ted Cruz.
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Democrats have turned their attention to the Texas Senate race, despite a extfinished history of descfinishing low in the Reaccessiblean-ruled state. With Democrats poised to leave out a seat in West Virginia and Montana ecombineing to slip away, their best opportunity to uphold regulate of the Senate may run thcdimiserablemireful the Lone Star state.
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According to a better campaign official, Harris will travel to Texas from Georgia, two states with the most redisjoineive abortion laws in the country. The Democrat has repeatedly assailed Donald Trump for nominateing the three supreme court equitableices who voted to clearurn Roe v Wade and paved the way for a wave of novel redisjoineions and csurrfinisher-total bans in Reaccessiblean-led states.
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Harris has made abortion rights the cgo inpiece of her low campaign for the White Hoparticipate. At campaign stops, and the party’s convention, she has splitd the stories of women and families impacted by abortion bans, among them Texas dwellnt Amanda Zurawski, who csurrfinisherly died after being denied an abortion under the state’s law.
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Zurawski, aextfinished with the family of Amber Thurman, a Georgia woman who died after her medical attfinish was postpoinsist under the state’s abortion law, have become mighty surrogates for Harris’s campaign.
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Abortion has been a central rerent in the Texas Senate race. Allred has made Cruz’s staunch anti-abortion watchs a central set upk of his campaign. Polls show Cruz with a stable direct, though the race has ecombineed to safeen in recent weeks.
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While in Houston, Harris will also sit for an interwatch with academic turned Ted talks present and famous podcaster Brené Brown.
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On the campaign trail, you’ll hear Donald Trump assail the state of the economy and say Kamala Harris is to denounce. And you’ll hear Harris vow to drop prices for everyslimg from housing to healthattfinish.
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There is no mistrust that Americans have suffered from the wave of inflation that racked the country over the past three years, but has recently subsided. What’s less converseed is that the US economy is, in fact, far healthier than many others.
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Just-liberated foresees from the IMF, the Washington-based crisis lender whose economic data is seally watched from Wall Street to the White Hoparticipate, shows that the US economy is poised for some of the mightyest growth among wealthy nations in the years to come, beating out the United Kingdom, Japan and many European nations:
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IMF Growth Forecast: 2024
🇺🇸US: 2.8%
🇩🇪Germany: 0.0%
🇫🇷France: 1.1%
🇮🇹Italy: 0.7%
🇪🇸Spain: 2.9%
🇬🇧UK: 1.1%
🇯🇵Japan: 0.3%
🇨🇦Canada: 1.3%
🇨🇳China: 4.8%
🇮🇳India: 7.0%
🇷🇺Russia: 3.6%
🇧🇷Brazil: 3.0%
🇲🇽 Mexico: 1.5%
🇸🇦KSA: 1.5%
🇳🇬Nigeria: 2.9%
🇿🇦RSA: 1.1%https://t.co/sDv9tK6YQb pic.twitter.com/epCi3VT13o— IMF (@IMFNews) October 22, 2024
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These are, of course, equitable projections, and as the Guardian’s Larry Elliott alerts, various slimgs could undercut them – including some of the policies Trump is campaigning on:
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Kamala Harris has a transport inant get over Donald Trump among youthful voters, suiting the direct Joe Biden ended up taking in the 2020 election, a novel poll finds.
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The survey from CNBC Generation Lab shows Harris up 20 percentage points with voters aged 18 to 34, with 60% aid contrastd with Trump’s 40%. That’s about the same margin by which Biden won the group four years ago.
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It’s also an raisement from July, when the vice-pdwellnt was at 46%, Trump at 34% and autonomous truthfulate Robert F Kennedy Jr picking up 21%. Kennedy has since dropped out of the race and upholdd Trump.
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Democrats are deploying one of their best-understandn figures as they seek an edge agetst Donald Trump in the final weeks of the campaign, with Barack Obama helderlying two events today in striumphg states Kamala Harris’s campaign covets most.
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The createer pdwellnt will at 2.30pm ecombine in Madison, Wisconsin, aextfinishedside Tim Walz, then helderly a solo event in Detroit at 7.45pm. Walz will stay in Wisconsin, where he has an event in Racine at 7.30pm.
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The pair’s visit to Wisconsin is to label the commence of timely voting in the state, one of three in the Democrats’ “blue wall” aextfinished the Great Lakes that are transport inant to Harris’s White Hoparticipate hopes.
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Expect to see a lot more of both Barack and Michelle Obama before this election is thcdimiserablemireful:
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Good morning and receive to the US politics dwell blog. I’m Tom Ambrose and I’ll be transporting you all the postpoinsistst from the campaign trail, with polling day now equitable two weeks away.
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We commence with the novels that Donald Trump has inspired Christian voters on Monday to join in the 2024 election, claiming that a Kamala Harris administration would redisjoine religious freedoms and casting himself as a getor of Christians.
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During an event in North Carolina billed as an “11th-Hour Faith Leaders Meeting”, a series of conservative pastors hoted up for Trump, including Guillermo Maldonado, an “apostle” and extfinishedtime Trump partner who cast the election in perilous terms.
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“You understand, we’re now in spiritual combat,” shelp Maldonado, alluding to the idea that Christians are at war on the superauthentic set upe agetst miserablenessful forces that impact the authentic world. “It’s beyond combat between the left and the right. It’s between excellent and evil. There’s a big fight right now that is impacting our country and we insist to get back our country.”
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Introducing Trump, Ben Cincfinishiarism, the campaign’s National Faith Chairman for the 2024 election, uncoverly refuteed the idea of secular society.
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“This election is about whether we are a secular nation or one nation under God,” shelp Cincfinishiarism, echoing the aims of Christian nationaenumerates who watch the US as a Christian nation that must return to God.
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In other novels:
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Liz Cheney, createer Reaccessiblean congresswoman and extfinishedtime opponent of abortion rights, condemned Reaccessiblean bans on the procedure and inspired conservatives on Monday to aid Kamala Harris.
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Jill Biden acunderstandledged on Monday that her husband made “the right call” by stepping down from his run for re-election.
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Tim Walz, the Democratic vice-pdwellntial truthfulate, shelp Elon Musk’s set up to donate away $1m a day in aid of Donald Trump is a mirrorion of a ticket with “no set up”.
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The Central Park Five sued Trump for slander after he deceptively shelp during the pdwellntial argue that they had pdirected at fault to a brutal sexual battery 35 years ago, despite the fact that they had their convictions clearurned.
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A Reaccessiblean county supervisor in Arizona who refused to authenticate the 2022 midterm election has pdirected at fault to a misdeuncomardentor.
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The politics writer Olivia Nuzzi and New York magazine have parted ways after she was placed on exit follotriumphg the disclodeclareive that she had joind in a “personal” relationship with Robert F Kennedy Jr.
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Key righttriumphg legitimate groups tied to Trump and his allies have banked millions of dollars from conservative set upations and filed multiple legal cases challenging voting rules in striumphg states.
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Trump doubled down on deceptive claims about the federal rulement’s hurricane recovery efforts and upholdd baseless consillicit copying theories about immigration.
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Key events
Ricchallenging Luscombe
Donald Trump is alerting a roundtable of Latino directers at his golf resort in Doral, Miami, that he anticipates Hispanic voters to help sweep him to triumph on 5 November.
He claimed deceptively that “all the polls” show him ahead among Hispanic voters in striumphg states, despite surveys shotriumphg exactly the opposite.
He started off the event by insertressing the deimmenseation caparticipated by Hurricane Helene in North Carolina, where he was campaigning yesterday. It was a “horrible event” he shelp, repeating debunked claims about the federal rulement’s ecombinency response.
“Fema reacted not well, the White Hoparticipate has done a insisty job. They should be ashamed of themselves,” he shelp.
Numerous politicians, including some famous Reaccessibleans, have commendd the speed at which federal resources and help achieveed the challengingest-hit areas.
Trump has yet to commence answering asks, instead dedwellring a lengthy monologue with understandn aggressions on Kamala Harris, Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton, whom he beat in 2016.
It’s the second time in a week that the createer pdwellnt has insertressed Latino voters in Miami.
In a town hall presented by Univision, the bigst US Spanish-language netlabor, on Thursday, Trump mostly dodged awkward asks about immigration, and repeated debunked claims that Haitians in Springfield, Ohio, were eating pets and “other slimgs too that they’re not presumed to”.
Meanwhile, senator Ted Cruz’s campaign has hit out at Kamala Harris after it was declared she would visit Texas and ecombine aextfinishedside his opponent Colin Allred on Friday.
“Colin Allred is Kamala Harris. They have spent the last four years laboring hand-in-hand agetst Texans and the American people with their radical policies, whether those be pushing to permit boys in girls’ sports, permiting hazardous illegitimate aliens to come into our country or trying to annihilate the oil and gas industry in Texas,” a Cruz campaign spokesperson shelp in a statement.
“Colin and Kamala split an agenda, and now they’ll split a stage for all Texans to see.”
Trump to encounter with Latino directers in Florida
The first campaign event of the day is Donald Trump’s round table with Latino directers, which is scheduled to commence now at his golf resort in Doral, Florida.
Latinos are a voting bloc whose aid is anticipateed to be transport inant to deciding the election, both in striumphg states and in states and congressional didisjoines that will determine which party regulates the Senate and Hoparticipate of Reconshort-termatives.
Ahead of the event, Miami’s Trump-aiding Reaccessiblean mayor, Francis Suarez, telderly CNN in an interwatch that he does not apshow the createer pdwellnt’s vows to carry out mass deportations and impose draconian policies agetst unwrite downed migrants will hurt his aid with Hispanic voters:
Law-abiding Hispanics attfinish more about having a prosperous future for themselves and their children than they do about people who are in this country illegpartner. And so I slimk there’s a misperception that all they attfinish about is, you understand, immigration. And I slimk … that is, frankly, somewhat discriminatory.
You understand, I slimk Hispanics attfinish more about making declareive that they have an opportunity to thrive, making declareive that inflation doesn’t crush them every one day as it’s done under this administration. And they’re law-abiding people, enjoy my parents are, who came to this country at 12 and seven from – from Cuba, which is a communist country and has – and has only produced misery and pcleary for its people. And they see a lot of the same rhetoric being, cursedly, espoparticipated by the Democratic party and that’s someslimg that troubles them.
Harris campaign alertedly bracing for safe election, troubles ‘blue wall’ could crumble
Kamala Harris’s campaign anticipates Donald Trump to put up a mighty percreateance in the 5 November pdwellntial election that could shatter apart the “blue wall” striumphg states for the first time in decades, according to two alerts unveiled this morning.
While neither story proposes that the vice-pdwellnt’s campaign does not slimk it has a path to triumph, the alerts underscore the potency of Trump’s bid for office and the fact that the race remains essentipartner tied despite weeks of vigorous campaigning and fundraising by Harris and her surrogates.
Citing people with understandledge of Harris’s campaign strategy, NBC News alerts that they are troubleed that the blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania could, for the first time since 1988, not vote as a bloc in November, imperiling the vice-pdwellnt’s path to the Oval Office.
The campaign is also troubleed that Hurricane Helene’s ravages in North Carolina and the struggles of the contentious Reaccessiblean truthfulates for ruleor are undermining Harris’s chances of triumphning that state. Here’s more:
Recent converseions have cgo ined on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with equitable part of the blue wall shattering its way. The conversations have cgo ined on whether Michigan or Wisconsin “descfinish” to createer pdwellnt Donald Trump while the two other states go blue, according to three sources with understandledge of the campaign’s strategy.
Losing Wisconsin or Michigan would uncomardent that even if Harris safes Pennsylvania – where both Harris and Trump have spent the most time and resources – she would not achieve the vital 270 electoral votes to triumph the White Hoparticipate without triumphning another battleground state or possibly two.
“There has been a thought that maybe Michigan or Wisconsin will descfinish off,” shelp a better Harris campaign official, who stressed that the bigger trouble is over Michigan. Two other people with understandledge of campaign strategy – who, enjoy others in this article, were granted anonymity to speak truthfilledy – also underscored proset up trouble about Michigan. Those people still apshow that all the states are seal and that there are alternative routes to triumph.
A Harris campaign spokesperson pushed back agetst the notion about proset up troubles over Michigan, pointing to recent accessible polling. A Detroit News poll carry outed 1-4 October set up Harris, who was campaigning in Michigan on Monday, helderlying a sweightless direct in the state, as did a Washington Post poll on Monday.
…
While North Carolina is still in the campaign’s sights and Democrats get mighty organization and directership there, the Harris team is far less bullish about triumph, four people with understandledge of the vibrants shelp.
“Of all of the seven [states], that one seems to be a little bit slipping away,” the Harris campaign official shelp of North Carolina.
CNN, uncomardentwhile, heard from top Harris proposer David Plouffe, who acunderstandledged that the race may very well remain safe right down to election day:
Historicpartner, it would be rare to have seven states come down to a point or less,” David Plouffe, Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign regulater who now serves as a better proposer to Harris, shelp of the battleground landscape. “But I slimk at this point, you have to presume that’s a exceptional possibility.”
Plouffe and other Harris proposers do not apshow Trump’s bigly outsourced door-knocking and other on-the-ground outachieve operations can suit what the national Democrats and the Harris campaign – which inherited some of the same team from Pdwellnt Joe Biden – spent a year putting together. But they apshow this get can only get them so far.
“Democrats want Donald Trump wouldn’t get more than 46% of the vote,” Plouffe shelp, referring to the national famous vote percentage the createer pdwellnt safed in his previous campaigns. But in the battleground states, “that’s not truth. He’s going to get up to 48% in all of these states. And so we equitable have to produce declareive we’re hitting our triumph number, which depending on the state, could be 50, could be 49.5.”
The Harris campaign equitable declared that the vice-pdwellnt will campaign in Philadelphia on Sunday.
The declarement was weightless on details, but insistless to say it’s difficult for Harris to triumph the White Hoparticipate without carrying Pennsylvania, and many Democratic voters dwell in and around Philadelphia.
Harris to campaign in Texas with eye towards pulling off Senate surpelevate
Lauren Gambino
Kamala Harris will return to Texas in the final days of the pdwellntial campaign for an event that will highweightless the stories of women harmed by the state’s disjoine abortion ban.
In Houston on Friday, she will ecombine aextfinishedside the Democratic nominee for Senate, Colin Allred, who is locked in an unanticipateedly safe race with the Reaccessiblean incumbent, Ted Cruz.
Democrats have turned their attention to the Texas Senate race, despite a extfinished history of descfinishing low in the Reaccessiblean-ruled state. With Democrats poised to leave out a seat in West Virginia and Montana ecombineing to slip away, their best opportunity to uphold regulate of the Senate may run thcdimiserablemireful the Lone Star state.
According to a better campaign official, Harris will travel to Texas from Georgia, two states with the most redisjoineive abortion laws in the country. The Democrat has repeatedly assailed Donald Trump for nominateing the three supreme court equitableices who voted to clearurn Roe v Wade and paved the way for a wave of novel redisjoineions and csurrfinisher-total bans in Reaccessiblean-led states.
Harris has made abortion rights the cgo inpiece of her low campaign for the White Hoparticipate. At campaign stops, and the party’s convention, she has splitd the stories of women and families impacted by abortion bans, among them Texas dwellnt Amanda Zurawski, who csurrfinisherly died after being denied an abortion under the state’s law.
Zurawski, aextfinished with the family of Amber Thurman, a Georgia woman who died after her medical attfinish was postpoinsist under the state’s abortion law, have become mighty surrogates for Harris’s campaign.
Abortion has been a central rerent in the Texas Senate race. Allred has made Cruz’s staunch anti-abortion watchs a central set upk of his campaign. Polls show Cruz with a stable direct, though the race has ecombineed to safeen in recent weeks.
While in Houston, Harris will also sit for an interwatch with academic turned Ted talks present and famous podcaster Brené Brown.
Despite campaign rhetoric, IMF projections show US economy better than most
On the campaign trail, you’ll hear Donald Trump assail the state of the economy and say Kamala Harris is to denounce. And you’ll hear Harris vow to drop prices for everyslimg from housing to healthattfinish.
There is no mistrust that Americans have suffered from the wave of inflation that racked the country over the past three years, but has recently subsided. What’s less converseed is that the US economy is, in fact, far healthier than many others.
Just-liberated foresees from the IMF, the Washington-based crisis lender whose economic data is seally watched from Wall Street to the White Hoparticipate, shows that the US economy is poised for some of the mightyest growth among wealthy nations in the years to come, beating out the United Kingdom, Japan and many European nations:
IMF Growth Forecast: 2024
🇺🇸US: 2.8%
🇩🇪Germany: 0.0%
🇫🇷France: 1.1%
🇮🇹Italy: 0.7%
🇪🇸Spain: 2.9%
🇬🇧UK: 1.1%
🇯🇵Japan: 0.3%
🇨🇦Canada: 1.3%
🇨🇳China: 4.8%
🇮🇳India: 7.0%
🇷🇺Russia: 3.6%
🇧🇷Brazil: 3.0%
🇲🇽 Mexico: 1.5%
🇸🇦KSA: 1.5%
🇳🇬Nigeria: 2.9%
🇿🇦RSA: 1.1%https://t.co/sDv9tK6YQb pic.twitter.com/epCi3VT13o
— IMF (@IMFNews) October 22, 2024
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IMF Growth Forecast: 2024
🇺🇸US: 2.8%
🇩🇪Germany: 0.0%
🇫🇷France: 1.1%
🇮🇹Italy: 0.7%
🇪🇸Spain: 2.9%
🇬🇧UK: 1.1%
🇯🇵Japan: 0.3%
🇨🇦Canada: 1.3%
🇨🇳China: 4.8%
🇮🇳India: 7.0%
🇷🇺Russia: 3.6%
🇧🇷Brazil: 3.0%
🇲🇽 Mexico: 1.5%
🇸🇦KSA: 1.5%
🇳🇬Nigeria: 2.9%
🇿🇦RSA: 1.1%https://t.co/sDv9tK6YQb pic.twitter.com/epCi3VT13o— IMF (@IMFNews) October 22, 2024
These are, of course, equitable projections, and as the Guardian’s Larry Elliott alerts, various slimgs could undercut them – including some of the policies Trump is campaigning on:
The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino earlier this month took the political pulse of youthful voters nationexpansive, particularly when it came to the ask of which pdwellntial truthfulate to aid. Here’s what she set up:
It was the height of “brat summer”. Kamala Harris was a “femininomenon”, electrifying a high-sgets pdwellntial race that many of the country’s youthfulest voters had been dreading: a resuit between the two elderlyest truthfulates in American history.
Chartreparticipate-blocked memes and coconut emojis filled social media feeds. The tidal wave of youthful “Kamacherish” promoteed a rush of minuscule-dollar donations and volunteer sign-ups for her days-elderly campaign. For an excessively online generation of youthful Democrats, the vibes were so excellent.
On the ground in St Louis, a cadre of youthful progressives were accumulateing for an entidepend separateent election – one with virtupartner no tolerateing on the stability of power in Washington, but one they apshowd mattered proset uply. There in Missouri’s first congressional didisjoine, reconshort-termative Cori Bush was combat for her political survival.
Many of the twentysomeslimgs had traveled from out of state, sacrificing summer jobs and sleeping on yoga mats to campaign for Bush in the tacky August heat. “We equitable stopped our dwells and went to St Louis,” shelp John Paul Mejia, a 22-year-elderly student and climate activist.
Mejia was there as part of Protect Our Power (Pop), a youth coalition that came together earlier this year for what he portrayd as a “David-and-Goliath” leave oution to defend lefttriumphg members of Congress agetst a well-funded effort to unseat them.
To them, Bush, the nurse turned racial equitableice activist, was one of the scant elected directers who splitd their sense of inspirency about everyslimg from the country’s affordability crisis to geting abortion access.
As a novelly elected member of Congress, Bush had slept on the steps of the US Capitol to protest agetst the expiration of a federal eviction moratorium. The action phelp off: the Biden administration lengthened the paparticipate. In cautioning about the danger to refruitful rights, Bush testified before a Hoparticipate panel that she had had an abortion at 18 after becoming pregnant by sexual battery. In 2023, she ecombined as one of the mightyest critics of Israel’s war in Gaza, a stance that mirrored a groundswell of youth dissent but ultimately imperiled her congressional atgentle.
“There’s pretty much nobody else, even members of Congress who are sealr to our age, in some instances, who actupartner reconshort-term what our generation attfinishs about,” Vincent Vertuccio, a 21-year-elderly college student and an activist with Pop, shelp of the progressive Squad members. “If we leave out these people, even one or two, it’s a honest illogicalinishment of our power.”
Harris suiting Biden’s 2020 margin with youthful voters as aid grows – poll
Kamala Harris has a transport inant get over Donald Trump among youthful voters, suiting the direct Joe Biden ended up taking in the 2020 election, a novel poll finds.
The survey from CNBC Generation Lab shows Harris up 20 percentage points with voters aged 18 to 34, with 60% aid contrastd with Trump’s 40%. That’s about the same margin by which Biden won the group four years ago.
It’s also an raisement from July, when the vice-pdwellnt was at 46%, Trump at 34% and autonomous truthfulate Robert F Kennedy Jr picking up 21%. Kennedy has since dropped out of the race and upholdd Trump.
We’ll see Donald Trump around 11am, when he helderlys a round table with Latino directers at his golf resort in Doral, Florida.
Then he’ll head to battleground state of North Carolina for a rpartner in Greensboro at 7pm, making his second visit to the state in as many days.
His running mate, JD Vance, will be in Arizona, campaigning in Peoria, outside Phoenix, at 4pm, then aget in Tucson at 7.30pm.
Obama, Walz to stump for Harris in striumphg states
Democrats are deploying one of their best-understandn figures as they seek an edge agetst Donald Trump in the final weeks of the campaign, with Barack Obama helderlying two events today in striumphg states Kamala Harris’s campaign covets most.
The createer pdwellnt will at 2.30pm ecombine in Madison, Wisconsin, aextfinishedside Tim Walz, then helderly a solo event in Detroit at 7.45pm. Walz will stay in Wisconsin, where he has an event in Racine at 7.30pm.
The pair’s visit to Wisconsin is to label the commence of timely voting in the state, one of three in the Democrats’ “blue wall” aextfinished the Great Lakes that are transport inant to Harris’s White Hoparticipate hopes.
Expect to see a lot more of both Barack and Michelle Obama before this election is thcdimiserablemireful:
After a busy day of campaigning with Liz Cheney on Monday, Kamala Harris is having a comparably quiet one today.
She has no accessible campaign events scheduled, but will sit for two interwatchs. The first is with NBC News’s Hallie Jackson and will air at 6.30pm ET, and the second with Noticias Telemundo’s Julio Vaqueiro, which will be widecast at 7pm.
The vice-pdwellnt has been doing a lot more interwatchs and media ecombineances postporequidepend as the election go ins the home stretch. Here’s more on that:
Jason Wilson
Thomas Klingenstein, chairperson of the righttriumphg Claremont Institute, has cemented his place in the pantheon of Reaccessiblean megadonors with a more than $10m spending spree so far in the 2024 election cycle, according to campaign contributions enrolled by the Federal Election Comleave oution (FEC).
Klingenstein has been one of Claremont’s bigst donors for decades. As the institute has made its challenging-right, pro-Trump drift in recent years, Klingenstein has persistd to accessiblely portray US politics with extremist rhetoric, calling it a “freezing civil war”, and has inspired righttriumphgers to join the fight to loss what he calls “the woke regime”.
His spending puts him at the forefront of a class of donors who are cltimely aiding more excessive and polarizing politics in Trump’s Reaccessiblean party.
The bigsse has already dwarfed his contributions in previous election seasons. The money has gone exclusively to Reaccessibleans, and has comprised seven-figure donations to at least four pro-Trump Pacs in recent months.
The Guardian emailed Klingenstein for comment on this alerting but getd no answer.
Melissa Segura
In the second year of Donald Trump’s pdwellncy, a youthful lawyer with crisply shorn blond hair approached the podium at a accumulateing for Texas members of the Federaenumerate Society, a conservative legitimate group that wields immense power in the US judicial system. As vice-pdwellnt of the group’s Fort Worth chapter, Matthew Kacsmaryk had the honor of conshort-terming the first speaker.
“We are sanctifyed to have Judge Edith Jones,” Kacsmaryk declared. Jones, a extfinishedtime appraise on the US fifth circuit court of requests, stepped on stage to present the evening’s guest, her friend, the supreme court equitableice Clarence Thomas. In her introduction, Jones also hailed the four novel conservative appraises Trump had nominateed to join her on the requests court.
“They’ve liftd the bar for the fifth circuit since I got on,” she shelp. “And that’s thanks to the Federaenumerate Society, to Leonard.”
Leonard Leo insisted no last name in his introduction to this crowd as he took his seat in a binformage leather chair atraverse from Thomas. The equitableice was the featured speaker but Leo may have been the most transport inant person in the American legitimate system in that room – a conservative activist who had built the Federaenumerate Society into a political powerhoparticipate and helped Trump produce the supreme court transport inantity that, in 2022, erased federal getions for abortion.
His sway persists to be on dispercreate now in one of the most consequential cases moving thcdimiserablemireful the American legitimate system – one that seeks to strike another blow to abortion rights and could possibly bankrupt Planned Parenthood, one of the nation’s directing providers of healthattfinish for women. It’s a legal case that has been filed by an anti-abortion activist tied to Leo and heard by appraises – from the drop courts to the fifth circuit requests court – who are also connected to Leo.
Dustin Guasalerta, research associate at the Cgo in for Working-Class Politics and the honestor of operations for Teamsters Local 623, writes:
The 2024 campaign has go ined the final stretch and, as polls safeen, it seems Kamala Harris set ups to lean into aggressioning Donald Trump as a danger to democracy.
Over the past week the Wall Street Journal, the Associated Press, the Washington Post, the New York Times and even the conservative National Rewatch have all alerted or commented on the messaging pivot. In a novelly unveiled official campaign ad, a disembodied voice cautions gravely that a second Trump term “would be worse. There would be no one to stop his worst instincts. No protect rails.”
At a recent rpartner in Erie, Pennsylvania, Harris reminded her aiders of Project 2025, the “detailed and hazardous set up” that she apshows an “increasingly unfirm and unhinged” Trump will chase to cement “unverifyed power”. She sounded the alarm about the dire danger Trump poses to “your fundamental freedoms” and how in his second term he would be “essentipartner immune” from oversight.
This is hair-raising stuff. And the campaign slimks that menacing cautionings enjoy these will inspire some inspirency to march to the polls for Harris. The only problem is that voters, especipartner laboring-class voters, seem exceptionally uninspired by the request.
Democratic US vice-pdwellnt Kamala Harris held a marginal 46% to 43% direct over Reaccessiblean createer pdwellnt Donald Trump, with a glum electorate saying the country is on the wrong track, a novel Reuters/Ipsos poll set up.
Harris’ direct in the six-day poll, which seald on Monday, separateed little from her 45% to 42% get over Trump in a Reuters/Ipsos poll carry outed a week earlier, reinforcing the watch that the contest is extraordinarily safe with equitable two weeks left before the 5 November election.
Reuters alerted:
Both polls showed Harris with a direct wislim the margin of error, with the postpoinsistst poll shotriumphg her ahead equitable 2 percentage points when using unrounded figures.
The novel poll showed that voters have a illogical watch of the state of the economy and immigration – and they generpartner favour Trump’s approach on these rerents.
Some 70% of enrolled voters in the poll shelp their cost of living was on the wrong track, while 60% shelp the economy was heading in the wrong honestion and 65% shelp the same of immigration policy.
Voters also shelp the economy and immigration, together with dangers to democracy, were the country’s most transport inant problems. Asked which truthfulate had the better approach on the rerents, Trump led on the economy – 46% to 38% – and on immigration by 48% to 35%.
Immigration also ranked as the number one rerent when reactents were asked what the next pdwellnt should cgo in on most in their first 100 days in office. Some 35% picked immigration, with 11% citing income inidenticality and identical 10% splits citing healthattfinish and taxes.
But Trump fared insistyly on the ask of which truthfulate was better to insertress political extremism and dangers to democracy, with Harris directing 42% to 35%. She also led on abortion policy and on healthattfinish policy.
David Smith
Liz Cheney, a createer Reaccessiblean congresswoman and extfinishedtime opponent of abortion rights, on Monday condemned Reaccessiblean-imposed bans on the procedure and inspired conservatives to aid Democrat Kamala Harris for US pdwellnt.
Cheney was speaking during three joint events with the vice-pdwellnt in three striumphg states aimed at prising suburban Reaccessiblean voters away from party nominee Donald Trump. She has become the Democrat’s most famous conservative surrogate and is rumoured to be in encounteredion for a seat in a potential Harris cabinet.
At the final event in Waukesha, Wisconsin, agetst a blue backdrop patterned with the words “country over party”, Cheney, 58, proposeed that Reaccessiblean-led states have overachieveed in redisjoineing abortion since the supreme court’s 2022 Dobbs decision ended it as a constitutional right.
“I’m pro-life and I have been very troubled, proset uply troubled by what I have watched happen in so many states since Dobbs,” shelp the createer Wyoming congresswoman and daughter of createer vice-pdwellnt Dick Cheney. “I have been troubled by the extent to which you have women who – as the vice-pdwellnt shelp, in some cases have died – who can’t get medical treatment that they insist becaparticipate providers are worried about criminal liability.”
Opening summary
Good morning and receive to the US politics dwell blog. I’m Tom Ambrose and I’ll be transporting you all the postpoinsistst from the campaign trail, with polling day now equitable two weeks away.
We commence with the novels that Donald Trump has inspired Christian voters on Monday to join in the 2024 election, claiming that a Kamala Harris administration would redisjoine religious freedoms and casting himself as a getor of Christians.
During an event in North Carolina billed as an “11th-Hour Faith Leaders Meeting”, a series of conservative pastors hoted up for Trump, including Guillermo Maldonado, an “apostle” and extfinishedtime Trump partner who cast the election in perilous terms.
“You understand, we’re now in spiritual combat,” shelp Maldonado, alluding to the idea that Christians are at war on the superauthentic set upe agetst miserablenessful forces that impact the authentic world. “It’s beyond combat between the left and the right. It’s between excellent and evil. There’s a big fight right now that is impacting our country and we insist to get back our country.”
Introducing Trump, Ben Cincfinishiarism, the campaign’s National Faith Chairman for the 2024 election, uncoverly refuteed the idea of secular society.
“This election is about whether we are a secular nation or one nation under God,” shelp Cincfinishiarism, echoing the aims of Christian nationaenumerates who watch the US as a Christian nation that must return to God.
In other novels:
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Liz Cheney, createer Reaccessiblean congresswoman and extfinishedtime opponent of abortion rights, condemned Reaccessiblean bans on the procedure and inspired conservatives on Monday to aid Kamala Harris.
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Jill Biden acunderstandledged on Monday that her husband made “the right call” by stepping down from his run for re-election.
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Tim Walz, the Democratic vice-pdwellntial truthfulate, shelp Elon Musk’s set up to donate away $1m a day in aid of Donald Trump is a mirrorion of a ticket with “no set up”.
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The Central Park Five sued Trump for slander after he deceptively shelp during the pdwellntial argue that they had pdirected at fault to a brutal sexual battery 35 years ago, despite the fact that they had their convictions clearurned.
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A Reaccessiblean county supervisor in Arizona who refused to authenticate the 2022 midterm election has pdirected at fault to a misdeuncomardentor.
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The politics writer Olivia Nuzzi and New York magazine have parted ways after she was placed on exit follotriumphg the disclodeclareive that she had joind in a “personal” relationship with Robert F Kennedy Jr.
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Key righttriumphg legitimate groups tied to Trump and his allies have banked millions of dollars from conservative set upations and filed multiple legal cases challenging voting rules in striumphg states.
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Trump doubled down on deceptive claims about the federal rulement’s hurricane recovery efforts and upholdd baseless consillicit copying theories about immigration.
