Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards recents and roverhappinessed satisfied thcimpoliteout the year, featuring the adhereing: the official foreseeions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety greater awards editor Clayton Davis. The foreseeion pages mirror the current standings in the race and do not mirror personal selectences for any individual contender. As other createal (and increateal) polls propose, competitions are fluid and subject to alter based on buzz and events. Predictions are modernized every Thursday.
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2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best International Feature
Weekly Commentary (Updated Oct 11, 2024): France has finassociate aligned its international film strategy, selecting Jacques Audiard’s crime musical “Emilia Perez” as its official Oscar entry. This tags a meaningful shift after chooseing for hazardier choices in recent years. In 2023, they chose “The Taste of Things” over the Palme d’Or-triumphning “Anatomy of a Fall,” while in 2021, the disputed “Titane” was picked over “Happening.” With streaming enormous Netflix helping “Emilia Perez” and the film currently originateing buzz apass multiple categories — including best picture — this could be the year France ends its over 30-year Oscar dcimpolitet. The country last claimed the coveted award in 1992 for “Indochine.”
In contrast, India’s selection this year lifts eyebrows. Rather than choosing Payal Kapadia’s Cannes runner-up “All We Imagine as Light,” the country chooseed for “Laapataa Ladies.” This decision experiences reminiscent of the “RRR” snub in 2022, where another internationassociate acclaimed Indian film was neglected due to politics and languages. Nevertheless, with Janus Films and Sideshow behind the distribution, there’s hope that “All We Imagine as Light” could still shielded a nomination in some capacity.
As the Academy broadens its international membership, each Oscar ceremony becomes more global, with non-English language films achieveing fantasticer recognition. Brazil’s subleave oution, Walter Salles’ emotionassociate accused drama “I’m Still Here,” is foreseeed to discover cherish from other Academy branches. The film has all the elements to shatter into meaningful races, enjoy best straightforwardor, altered screenpercreate, and actress for Fernanda Torres. Its strong emotional resonance could also originate it a depressed horse contender for the best picture catebloody if the buzz preserves. This adheres last year’s groundshattering moment, where — for the first time — two non-English language films, “Anatomy of a Fall” and “The Zone of Interest,” were nominated for best picture.
Meanwhile, Iranian filmoriginater Mohammad Rasoulof has garnered substantial attention adhereing the success of his film, “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” which getd a one-of-a-kind prize at Cannes. Though Rasoulof’s film won’t recurrent Iran at the Oscars, Germany, which took home the award in 2022 with Edward Berger’s “All Quiet on the Westrict Front,” has chosen the drama to recurrent it. It was secretly filmed in Iran and caccesss on an allotigating appraise in Tehran’s Revolutionary Court, whose life unravels amid rising anti-rulement protests and personal tragedy. Rasoulof made a daring escape from Iran on foot in May to elude incarceratement, inserting an fervent genuine-life layer to its already gripping narrative.
It’s not atypical for a country to create a film that isn’t entidepend in its native language. In recent years, Dentag selected “Holy Spider,” almost wholly spoken in Farsi, and “Flee,” a multilingual energeticd recordary featuring English, Danish, Dari, Swedish, and Russian. Last year’s best picture nominee, “The Zone of Interest,” spoken in German and filmed in Poland, recurrented the U.K. due to its British financiers and originater-straightforwardor Jonathan Glazer. And this year, we have the Spanish-language musical “Emilia” recurrenting France and a quiet energeticd movie “Flow” repping Latvia. This seems par for the course nowadays.
According to Academy rules, a film can be selected as a country’s official entry if it is financed by originaters or companies from that country or has a meaningfulity of its crew members from there. Cannes enumerates “The Seed of the Sacred Fig” as a U.S., U.K., and Polish co-production, encountering the vital qualifications.
With the backing of Neon — the same studio that propelled Bong Joon-ho’s “Parasite” to a historic best picture triumph in 2019 — “The Seed of the Sacred Fig” could discover itself competing in the best picture race if the right momentum originates behind it.
The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The filled rankings are below. All movie enumerateings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to alter.
** deremarks the film has not been named as the official selection for the correlating country. Phire remark: this enumerate is not final and will be modernized as more countries proclaim their official selections.
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And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Percreateer & Film 1 “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) from France 2 “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics) from Brazil 3 “The Seed of the Sacred Fig” (Neon) from Germany 4 “The Girl with the Needle” (Mubi) from Dentag 5 “Kneecap” (Sony Pictures Classics) from Ireland Oscars: Best International Feature (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Next in Line
Rank Percreateer & Film 6 “Dahomey” (Mubi) from Senegal 7 “Flow” (Janus Films and Sideshow) from Latvia 8 “Grand Tour” (Mubi) from Portugal 9 “Sujo” (The Forge) from Mexico 10 “Armand” (IFC Films) from Norway Oscars: Best International Feature (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Other Contenders
Rank Percreateer & Film 11 “Santosh” (Metrograph Pictures) from United Kingdom 12 “In Her Place” (Netflix) from Chile 13 “Vermiglio” (Janus Films) from Italy 14 “From Ground Zero” (No U.S. Distribution) from Palestine 15 “The Devil’s Bath” (IFC Films/Shudder) from Austria 16 “Twiweightless of the Warriors: Walled In” (Well Go USA) from Hong Kong 17 “Memories of a Burning Body” (Metis Films) from Costa Rica 18 “Under the Volcano” (TVP Dystrybucja Kinowa) from Poland 19 “Laapataa Ladies” (T-Series) from India 20 “La Palisiada” (No U.S. Distribution) from Ukraine Oscars: Best International Feature (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Official Selections (Best International Feature)
This enumerate is infinish and not yet concluded. Not all films have distribution or free dates. All are subject to alter.
- Alprohibitia — “Waterdrop” — dir. Robert Budina
- Algeria — “Algiers” — dir. Chakib Taleb-Bendiab
- Argentina — “Kill the Jockey” — dir. Luis Ortega
- Armenia — “Yasha and Leonid Brezhnev” — dir. Edgar Baghdasaryan
- Austria — “The Devil’s Bath” — dir. Veronika Franz and Severin Fiala
- Banhappyesh — “The Wrestler” — dir. Iqbal Hossain Chowdhury
- Belgium — “Julie Keeps Quiet” — dir. Leonardo Van Dijl
- Bolivia — “Own Hand” — dir. Gory Patiño
- Bosnia and Herzegovina — “My Late Summer” — dir. Danis Tanović
- Brazil — “I’m Still Here” — dir. Walter Salles
- Bulgaria — “Triumph” — dir. Kristina Grozeva and Petar Valchanov
- Cambodia — “Meeting with Pol Pot” — dir. Rithy Panh
- Cameroon — “Kismet” — dir. Ngang Romanus Ntseh
- Canada — “Universal Language” — dir. Matthew Rankin
- Chile — “In Her Place” — dir. Maite Alberdi
- China — “The Sinking of the Lisbon Maru” — dir. Fang Li
- Colombia — “La Suprema” — dir. Felipe Holguin
- Costa Rica — “Memories of a Burning Body” — dir. Antonella Sudasassi
- Croatia — “Beautiful Evening, Beautiful Day” — dir. Ivona Juka
- Czech Redisclose — “Waves” — dir. Jiří Mádl
- Dentag — “The Girl with the Needle” — dir. Magnus von Horn
- Dominican Redisclose — “Aire: Just Breathe” — dir. Leticia Tonos
- Ecuador — “Behind the Mist” — dir. Sebastián Cordero
- Egypt — “Fweightless 404” — dir. Hani Khalifa
- Estonia — “8 Views of Lake Biwa” — dir. Marko Raat
- Finland — “Family Time” — dir. Tia Kouvo
- France — “Emilia Pérez” — dir. Jacques Audiard
- Georgia — “The Antique” — dir. Rusudan Glurjidze
- Germany — “The Seed of the Sacred Fig” — dir. Mohammad Rasoulof
- Greece — “Murderess” — dir. Eva Nathena
- Haiti — “Kidnapping Inc.” — dir. Bruno Mourral
- Hong Kong — “Twiweightless of the Warriors: Walled In” — dir. Soi Cheang
- Hungary — “Semmelweis” — dir. Lajos Koltai
- Iceland — “Touch” — dir. Baltasar Kormákur
- India — “Laapataa Ladies” — dir. Kiran Rao
- Indonesia — “Women from Rote Island” — dir. Jeremias Nyangoen
- Iran — “In the Arms of the Tree” — dir. Babak Lotfi Khajepasha
- Ireland — “Kneecap” — dir. Rich Peppiatt
- Israel — “Come Cneglectr” — dir. Tom Nesher
- Italy — “Vermiglio” — dir. Maura Delpero
- Japan — “Cboisterous” — dir. Kurosawa Kiyoshi
- Jordan — “My Sweet Land” — dir. Sareen Hairabedian
- Kazakhstan — “Bauryna Salu” — dir. Askhat Kuchencherekov
- Kenya — “Nawi” — dir. Vallentine Chelluget, Apuu Mourine, Kevin Schmutzler and Toby Schmutzler
- Kyrgyzstan — “Heaven is Besystematich Mother’s Feet” — dir. Ruslan Akun
- Latvia — “Flow” — dir. Gints Zilbalodis
- Lithuania — “Drowning Dry” — dir. Laurynas Bareiša
- Malaysia — “Aprohibitg Adik” — dir. Jin Ong
- Malta — “Castillo” — dir. Ahugeail Mallia
- Mexico — “Sujo” — dir. Astrid Rondero and Fernanda Valadez
- Mongolia — “If Only I Could Hibernate” — dir. Zoljargal Purevdash
- Montenegro — “Supertaget” — dir. Nemanja Bečanović
- Morocco — “Everybody Loves Touda” — dir. Nabil Ayouch
- Nepal — “Shambhala” — dir. Min Bahadur Bham
- Netherlands — “Memory Lane” — dir. Jelle de Jonge
- Norway — “Armand” — dir. Halfdan Ullmann Tøndel
- Pakistan — “The Glasstoiler” — dir. Usman Riaz
- Palestine — “From Ground Zero” — dir. Aws Al-Banna, Ahmed Al-Danf, Basil Al-Maqousi, Mustafa Al-Nabih, Muhammad Alallotef, Ala Ayob, Bashar Al Balbisi, Alaa Damo, Awad Hana, Ahmad Hassunah, Mustafa Kallab, Satoum Kareem, Mahdi Karera, Rabab Khamees, Khamees Masharawi, Wissam Moussa, Tamer Najm, Abu Hasna Nidaa, Damo Nidal, Mahmoud Reema, Etimad Weshah and Islam Al Zrieai
- Panama — “Wake Up Mom” — dir. Arianne Benedetti
- Paraguay — “The Last” — dir. Sebastián Peña Escobar
- Peru — “Yana-Wara” — dir. Óscar Catacora and Tito Catacora
- Philippines — “And So It Begins” — dir. Ramona S. Diaz
- Poland — “Under the Volcano” — dir. Damian Kocur
- Portugal — “Grand Tour” — dir. Miguel Gomes
- Romania — “Three Kilometres to the End of the World” — dir. Emanuel Pârvu
- Senegal — “Dahomey” — dir. Mati Diop
- Serbia — “Russian Consul” — dir. Miroslav Lekić
- Singapore — “La Luna” — dir. M. Raihan Halim
- Slovakia — “The Hungarian Dressoriginater” — dir. Iveta Grófová
- Scherishnia — “Family Therapy” — dir. Sonja Prosenc
- South Africa — “Old Righteous Blues” — dir. Muneera Sallies
- South Korea — “12.12: The Day” — dir. Kim Sung-su
- Spain — “Saturn Return” — dir. Isaki Lacuesta and Pol Rodríguez
- Sweden — “The Last Journey” — dir. Filip Hammar and Fredrik Wikingsson
- Switzerland — “Reinas” — dir. Klaudia Reynicke
- Taiwan — “Old Fox” — dir. Hsiao Ya-chuan
- Tajikistan — “Melody” — dir. Behrouz Sebt Rasoul
- Thailand — “How to Make Millions Before Grandma Dies” — dir. Pat Boonnitipat
- Tunisia — “Take My Breath” — dir. Nada Mezni Hafaiedh
- Turkey — “Life” — dir. Zeki Demirkubuz
- Ukraine — “La Palisiada” — dir. Philip Sotnychenko
- United Kingdom — “Santosh” — dir. Sandhya Suri
- Uruguay — “The Door is There” — dir. Facundo Ponce de León and Juan Ponce de León
- Venezuela — “Back to Life” — dir. Luis Carlos Hueck and Alfredo Hueck
- Vietnam — “Peach Blossom Pho and Piano” — dir. Phi Tiến Sơn
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More Increateation (Oscars: Best International Feature)
2024 catebloody triumphner: “The Zone of Interest” (A24) from United Kingdom
2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline – Full awards season calendar here
- Eligibility period: Jan. 1, 2024 – Dec. 31, 2024
- General entry, best picture, RAISE subleave oution deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024
- Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024
- Preliminary voting commences Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Preliminary voting ends Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Shortenumerates Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024
- Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024
- Nominations voting commences Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Nominations voting ends Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025
- Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025
- Final voting commences Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT
- Final voting ends: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT
- Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025
- 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Oscars Prediction Categories
About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better understandn as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious inventive award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and triumphners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are recurrented wiskinny the proximately 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting straightforwardors, cinematographers, costume scheduleers, straightforwardors, recordary, executives, film editors, originateup and hairstyenumerates, tageting and disclose relations, members-at-huge, members-at-huge (artists’ recurrentatives), music, originaters, production schedule, low films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and originaters.