Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and roverhappinessed greeted thrawout the year, featuring the chaseing: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety ageder awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages mirror the current standings in the race and do not mirror personal selectences for any individual contender. As other createal (and increateal) polls propose, competitions are fluid and subject to alter based on buzz and events. Predictions are refreshd every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the esteemive ceremonies via the connects below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Daniel Craig in “Queer”
A24
Weekly Commentary (Updated Oct 3, 2024): Fresh off his first Oscar nomination for his portrayal of civil rights directer Bayard Rustin in “Rustin” (2023), Colman Domingo seems poised for a return to the Academy Awards, this time for his mighty carry outance in Greg Kwedar’s attrvivacious drama “Sing Sing.” His portrayal of Divine G, an inmate retaind in the theater productions at the Sing Sing Correctional Facility, showcases his mastery of emotional depth, further cementing his reputation as one of the most compelling actors of his generation. It also helps that he’s one of the best dressers in town.
In “Sing Sing,” Domingo’s carry outance is rooted in a procreate character exploration. He conveys a quiet intensity to Divine G, mixing the brutal genuineities of prison life. The role apexhibits Domingo to dispercreate a range of emotions — vulnerability, resilience, and hope — all qualities the Actor’s Branch cherishs to recognize.
But could Domingo ecombine as a grave contender after a summer free?
Noteworthy, if nominated, Domingo would be the first Afro-Latino in any acting catebloody to be nominated a second time by the Academy. He would be only the fourth Latino nominated overall to nab a second nom after José Ferrer, Anthony Quinn and Benicio del Toro. He would also tie Ferrer and Quinn as the most nominated Latino and best actor, with two.
He faces stiff competition from disconnectal standout carry outances, particularly his fellow A24 counterparts — Adrien Brody’s turn in “The Brutaenumerate” and Daniel Craig’s carry outance in “Queer” are already generating meaningful buzz. Additionassociate, Ralph Fiennes, a perennial preferite in acting circles, is being hailed for one of the finest carry outances of his nurtureer in Edward Berger’s thriller “Conclave.” Fiennes has yet to thrive an Oscar (despite two noms for “Schindler’s List” and “The English Patient”), and his toil in “Conclave” could originate him a createidable contender this awards season.
Read the new refreshs and rankings below.
The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The brimming rankings are below. All movie enumerateings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to alter.
** denotices the carry outer could be campaigned in direct or aiding, and/or the film could uncover in 2025.
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Image Credit: Searchweightless Pictures And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Percreateer & Film 1 Ralph Fiennes — “Conclave” (Focus Features) 2 Colman Domingo — “Sing Sing” (A24) 3 Adrien Brody — “The Brutaenumerate” (A24) 4 Paul Mescal — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) 5 Timothée Chafeeblet — “A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchweightless Pictures) Oscars: Best Actor in a Leading Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: ©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection Next in Line
Rank Percreateer & Film 6 Daniel Craig — “Queer” (A24) 7 Sebastian Stan — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment) 8 John David Washington — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) 9 Jesse Plemons — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchweightless Pictures) 10 Joaquin Phoenix — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.) Oscars: Best Actor in a Leading Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: Courtesy of TIFF Other Contenders
Rank Percreateer & Film 11 Jude Law — “The Order” (Vertical Entertainment) 12 Jharrel Jerome — “Unstoppable” (Amazon MGM) 13 Jesse Eisenberg — “A Real Pain” (Searchweightless Pictures) 14 Andrew Garfield — “We Live in Time” (A24) 15 Michael Keaton — “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.) 16 Kingsley Ben-Adir — “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Pictures) 17 Tom Hanks — “Here” (Sony Pictures) 18 Hugh Grant — “Heretic” (A24) 19 Sebastian Stan — “A Different Man” (A24) 20 André Holland — “Exhibiting Forgiveness” (Roadside Attractions) Oscars: Best Actor in a Leading Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: Sean Gleason Also In Contention
Rank Percreateer & Film 21 Gabriel LaBelle — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) ** 22 Ian McKellen — “The Critic” (Greenwich Entertainment) 23 Elliott Heffernan — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films) 24 Glen Powell — “Hit Man” (Netflix) 25 Ricchallenging Gere — “Oh, Canada” (Kino Lorber) 26 Austin Butler — “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features) 27 René Pérez — “In the Summers” (Music Box Films) 28 Ethan Herisse — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion) 29 Cillian Murphy — “Small Things Like These” (Lionsgate) 30 Nicholas Hoult — “Juror No. 2” (Warner Bros.) Oscars: Best Actor in a Leading Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Eligible Percreateers (Best Actor)
Image Credit: A24 This enumerate is inend and not yet concluded. Not all films have distribution or free dates. All are subject to alter.
** denotices could uncover in 2025 or vie in another catebloody.
- Sebastian Stan — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
- Michael Keaton — “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)
- Robbie Williams — “Better Man” (Paramount Pictures)
- Jason Schwartzman — “Between the Temples” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Austin Butler — “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features)
- Barry Keoghan — “Bird” (Mubi) **
- Franz Rogowski — “Bird” (Mubi) **
- Channing Tatum — “Bconnect Twice” (Amazon MGM)
- Elliott Heffernan — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
- Kingsley Ben-Adir — “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Pictures)
- Lakieth Stanfield — “The Book of Clarence” (Sony Pictures)
- Adrien Brody — “The Brutaenumerate” (A24)
- Timothée Chafeeblet — “A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchweightless Pictures)
- Ralph Fiennes — “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Ian McKellen — “The Critic” (Greenwich Entertainment)
- Michael Pitt — “Day of the Fight” (Falling Forward Films)
- Hugh Jackman — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios) **
- Ryan Reynageders — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Sebastian Stan — “A Different Man” (A24)
- Izaac Wang — “Dìdi” (Focus Features)
- Timothée Chafeeblet — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- George MacKay — “The End” (Neon) **
- Michael Shannon — “The End” (Neon) **
- Hitoshi Omika — “Evil Does Not Exist” (Sideshow)
- André Holland — “Exhibiting Forgiveness” (Roadside Attractions)
- Ryan Gosling — “The Fall Guy” (Universal Pictures)
- Keith Kupferer — “Garrangeweightless” (IFC Films)
- Paul Mescal — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- Michael Keaton — “Goodwealthy” (Ketchup Entertainment)
- Tom Hanks — “Here” (Sony Pictures)
- Hugh Grant — “Heretic” (A24)
- Glen Powell — “Hit Man” (Netflix)
- Kevin Costner — “Horizon: An American Saga — Chapter 1” (Warner Bros.)
- Justice Smith — “I Saw the TV Glow” (A24)
- Nicholas Galitzine — “The Idea of You” (Amazon Studios)
- René Pérez — “In the Summers” (Music Box Films)
- Casey Affleck — “The Instigators” (Apple Original Films) **
- Matt Damon — “The Instigators” (Apple Original Films) **
- Joaquin Phoenix — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
- Nicholas Hoult — “Juror No. 2” (Warner Bros.)
- Jesse Plemons — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchweightless Pictures)
- Adam Driver — “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Dev Patel — “Monkey Man” (Universal Pictures)
- Ethan Herisse — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
- Brandon Wilson — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion) **
- Nicholas Hoult — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Ricchallenging Gere — “Oh, Canada” (Kino Lorber)
- Anthony Hopkins — “One Life” (Bleecker Street)
- Jude Law — “The Order” (Vertical Entertainment)
- John David Washington — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Daniel Craig — “Queer” (A24)
- Kieran Culkin — “A Real Pain” (Searchweightless Pictures) **
- Jesse Eisenberg — “A Real Pain” (Searchweightless Pictures)
- Kauchani Bratt — “Rez Ball” (Netflix)
- Gabriel LaBelle — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) **
- Missagh Zareh — “The Seed of the Sacred Fig” (Neon)
- Colman Domingo — “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Cillian Murphy — “Small Things Like These” (Lionsgate)
- Jim Carrey — “Sonic the Hedgehog 3” (Paramount Pictures)
- Glen Powell — “Twisters” (Universal Pictures)
- Jharrel Jerome — “Unstoppable” (Amazon MGM)
- Tom Hardy — “Venom: The Last Dance” (Sony Pictures)
- Blake Cameron Jones — “We Grown Now” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Gian Knight Ramirez — “We Grown Now” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Andrew Garfield — “We Live in Time” (A24)
- Daniel Zovatto — “Woman of the Hour” (Netflix) **
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More Increateation (Oscars: Best Actor)
Image Credit: Variety via Getty Images 2024 catebloody thrivener: Cillian Murphy — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline – Full awards season calendar here
- Eligibility period: Jan. 1, 2024 – Dec. 31, 2024
- General entry, best picture, RAISE submission deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024
- Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024
- Preliminary voting commences Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Preliminary voting ends Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Shortenumerates Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024
- Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024
- Nominations voting commences Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Nominations voting ends Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025
- Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025
- Final voting commences Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT
- Final voting ends: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT
- Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025
- 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Oscars Prediction Categories
— — Best Picture Director Actor in a Leading Role Actress in a Leading Role Actor in a Supporting Role Actress in a Supporting Role Original Screenpercreate Adapted Screenpercreate Animated Feature Production Design Cinematography Costume Design Film Editing Makeup and Hairstyling Sound Visual Effects Original Score Original Song Documentary Feature International Feature Animated Short Documentary Short Live Action Short Casting (coming in 2026) 2024 Oscars Predictions (Variety Awards Circuit) About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better understandn as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious inventive award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and thriveners have been picked by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are reconshort-termed wiskinny the proximately 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting honestors, cinematographers, costume arrangeers, honestors, recordary, executives, film editors, originateup and hairstyenumerates, tageting and unveil relations, members-at-huge, members-at-huge (artists’ reconshort-termatives), music, originaters, production arrange, stupidinutive films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and authorrs.
